This brief threat assessment report by UNICRI aims to analyse and assess the recent developments in Afghanistan and their broader implications on the security context at the domestic, regional, and international levels. This is a prelude to a more comprehensive report that will aim to explore and identify: (i) current sources of Taliban funding; (ii) the relationship between the Taliban and foreign terrorist groups, notably Al-Qaida and the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant-Khorasan (ISIL-K); (iii) the use of sanctions, and their unintended consequences; (iv) regional relations and dynamics; and (v) potential implications for the European security context. This research aims to provide actionable recommendations to guide the design of an integrated programme for neighbouring countries.
Background -- Introduction -- Trends and threat assessment --- Intra-Taliban fragmentation -- Regiona and global terrorist and violent extremist groups-- Anti-Taliban resistance -- Illicit economy and drug smuggling -- Large-scale movements of people

13 p. : ill.

Includes bibliographical references.